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Forecast Discussion for Boise, ID
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347 FXUS65 KBOI 260017 AFDBOI Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boise ID 617 PM MDT Sun Oct 25 2026 .UPDATE...Updated aviation discussion. && .KEY MESSAGES... - Milder tonight under increasing clouds. - Light rain and mountain snow Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning, mainly in northern areas. - Windy Monday afternoon in open southern areas. - Continuing chance of light rain and snow showers in northern areas Tuesday. && .SHORT TERM /Through Tuesday Night/... Issued 209 PM MDT SUN OCT 25 2026 Upper low from the Gulf of Alaska was near the WA coast early this afternoon, with surface cold front already inland, and high clouds over all of WA and OR. The upper low center is forecast inland along 45N tonight and Monday, a little north of yesterday`s predicted track. This change means less pcpn for our CWA Monday and Monday night, with new estimates .20 to .40 inch in northern mountains, .10 to .20 inch in northern valleys and southern mountains, and less than .10 inch in southern valleys. South of the Snake Basin will probably stay dry. The system will be cold enough, though, for a dusting to 2 inches of snow in northern areas above 5000 feet. Marginal instability will also support a slight (10-15%) chance of weak thunderstorms in Harney County and the central Idaho mountains Monday. Monday afternoon also looks windy in open areas of southeast OR and southern ID, with west/southwest gusts 25 to 30 mph. Low temps tonight will be milder than the previous two nights under increasing clouds. High temps Monday will get into the mid 60s in southern ID before the cold front arrives. Northern and western areas will be 4 to 8 degrees cooler than today with the front already past. Partial clearing Monday night will allow lows Tuesday morning 5 to 10 degrees colder than tonight, with patchy fog toward morning. Another weak upper low will approach from western WA Tuesday and maintain clouds and chance of rain and snow showers in northern areas through the day, then clearing Tuesday night except in the far north where a chance of rain and snow showers will continue into Wednesday. The clearing skies elsewhere will allow colder low temps Wednesday morning and slightly warmer high temps Wednesday afternoon. && .LONG TERM /Wednesday through Sunday/... Issued 209 PM MDT SUN OCT 25 2026 Continued good agreement amongst forecast guidance that an active weather pattern will be in place throughout the week and into next weekend. Guidance is narrowing focus on a more impactful low pressure system for the weekend, with the best chances for precipitation on Saturday Night and Sunday. Temperatures are expected to remain at or near normal for the period. && .AVIATION /00Z Monday through Tuesday/... Issued 546 PM MDT SUN OCT 25 2026 VFR tonight with increasing high/mid clouds. A 10% chance of fog/low stratus in sheltered mtn valleys, limited by high clouds. Showers arriving from W to E with cold front after Mon/14Z in E Oregon, after Mon/17Z in SW Idaho. Low VFR to MVFR in showers, except IFR in mtn snow. Snow levels: 5.5k-6.5kft MSL. Mtns becoming obscured. Surface winds: E-S 5-15 kt, shifting to SW-NW 10-20 kt with 20-30 kt gusts Mon/PM behind cold front. Possible LLWS overnight near KONO/KBNO. Winds aloft at 10kft MSL: SW-W 15-30 kt. KBOI...VFR tonight with increasing high/mid clouds. Showers arriving after Mon/19Z through Tue/01Z with cold front, with brief MVFR possible. A 10% chance of lightning during shower onset. Surface winds: SE 5-12 kt, gusts around 20 kt late Mon AM. Shifting to W-NW 8-15 kt around Mon/19Z with cold front. Period of gusts to 20-30 kt with arrival of showers/cold front Monday afternoon. && .BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ID...None. OR...None. && $$ www.weather.gov/Boise Interact with us via social media: www.facebook.com/NWSBoise www.x.com/NWSBoise AVIATION.....SH SHORT TERM...LC LONG TERM....MC |
Previous Forecast Discussions may be found at
NWS Boise, ID (BOI) Office Forecast Discussions.
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